MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 14:47:05| >> :600:1661773:1661773:
Lincoln City
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
LNER Stadium

Lincoln
5 - 0
Man City U21s

Draper (6'), Cadamarteri (41'), Street (49'), Okoro (60'), McKiernan (65')
Moylan (45+3'), House (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Alfa-Ruprecht (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Lincoln City and Manchester City Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Man City U21s 5-0 Norwich U21s
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Manchester City Under-21s

 With so many talented youngsters joining up with their national teams, Man City could be down to the bare bones for Tuesday's encounter, where their EFL Trophy dreams should come to an end. Lincoln could very well be playing Championship football next season if they continue in the same vein, and Skubala's men ought to have no problem seeing off their ravaged visitors en route to the knockout rounds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawManchester City Under-21s
53.66% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 22.47% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 23.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.92% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.24% (0.087999999999994 0.09)40.76% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.85% (0.086999999999996 0.09)63.15% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (0.048000000000002 0.05)15.2% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.16% (0.085999999999999 0.09)43.84% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (0.034999999999997 0.03)30.52% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26% (0.037999999999997 0.04)66.75% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 53.66%
    Manchester City Under-21s 23.88%
    Draw 22.47%
Lincoln CityDrawManchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 23.88%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Man City U21s

Lincoln City
67.4%
Draw
7.0%
Manchester City Under-21s
25.6%
43
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Lincoln
1-1
Man City U21s
(Aggregate 1-1 | Lincoln win 4-3 on penalties)
Anderson (76')
Bridcutt (27'), Edun (59'), Hopper (64'), McGrandles (81'), Grant (90+4')
Simmonds (88')
Nmecha (87')
rhs 2.0
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