Grimsby Town1 - 2Lincoln
Ainley (21')
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League Two
for
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
for
We said: Grimsby Town 1-2 Lincoln City
Lincoln have not lost a competitive away game since New Year's Day, and we think that they will continue that impressive run by claiming a narrow victory against a Grimsby side that has lost three of their previous five home matches in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
28.61% ( -0.09) | 24.97% ( -0.02) | 46.42% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.9% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.92% ( 0.03) | 48.09% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.75% ( 0.02) | 70.25% ( -0.02) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.28% ( -0.05) | 30.73% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.02% ( -0.06) | 66.98% ( 0.06) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.25% ( 0.06) | 20.76% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.61% ( 0.09) | 53.39% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.41% |
How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Lincoln
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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