Man City U21s

4 - 1

Aston Villa U21s

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 38.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.19%) and 3-1 (4.99%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.