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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
24.47% ( 1.99) | 22.68% ( 1) | 52.85% ( -2.98) |
Both teams to score 58.89% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( -2.44) | 41.11% ( 2.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.49% ( -2.53) | 63.51% ( 2.53) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% ( 0.32) | 30.23% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.6% ( 0.38) | 66.4% ( -0.37) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% ( -1.81) | 15.6% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.42% ( -3.47) | 44.58% ( 3.48) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.65) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.02% Total : 24.47% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.45) 0-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.41) 0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.23) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |