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Portsmouth
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Gillingham

Portsmouth
5 - 1
Gillingham

Anjorin (11'), Stevenson (50'), Yengi (54'), Kamara (72'), Towler (80')
Towler (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (45')
Jefferies (25'), Ogie (37'), Orji (53')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Portsmouth and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

Gillingham

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 MK Dons
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawGillingham
58.91% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 22.96% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 18.13% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.87% (0.030000000000001 0.03)50.13% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.9% (0.026 0.03)72.09% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42% (0.036999999999999 0.04)46.57% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)41.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 58.91%
    Gillingham 18.13%
    Draw 22.95%
PortsmouthDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-0 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 58.91%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Gillingham

Portsmouth
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Gillingham
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Portsmouth
3-1
Gillingham
Curtis (4', 45+2'), Robertson (54')
Jackson (30')
Tutonda (22'), Ehmer (90+3')
Harris (45+2')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Gillingham
0-1
Portsmouth
Tucker (90+3' og.)
Romeo (82')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Portsmouth
1-1
Gillingham
Raggett (32')
Mnoga (82')
Oliver (40')
O'Keefe (76')
Oct 20, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 7
Gillingham
0-2
Portsmouth

Maghoma (90+1')
Marquis (14'), Jacobs (17')
Johnson (29'), Marquis (90+1')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 25
Gillingham
1-1
Portsmouth
Jakubiak (80')
O'Keefe (63')
Evans (36')
Evans (38'), Naylor (65'), Raggett (96')
rhs 2.0
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