MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:57:57| >> :600:265256:265256:
Portsmouth
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Dec 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Fratton Park
Stevenage

Portsmouth
3 - 0
Stevenage

Mingi (37'), Koroma (59'), Pigott (90+4')
Dale (18'), Oluwayemi (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Portsmouth and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, December 4 at 12.30pm in League One

Stevenage

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Mansfield
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Stevenage

 With five of their last six home games in all competitions finishing all square, we think that Pompey will play out another draw on Tuesday against Stevenage, which would send the last-16 tie to penalties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawStevenage
41.24% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 25.88% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 32.87% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8% (-0.127 -0.13)50.2% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.84% (-0.112 -0.11)72.16% (0.11399999999999 0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)24.09% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62% (-0.012 -0.01)58.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)28.86% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (-0.171 -0.17)64.73% (0.173 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 41.24%
    Stevenage 32.87%
    Draw 25.88%
PortsmouthDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.87%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Stevenage

Portsmouth
56.7%
Draw
40.0%
Stevenage
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2020 3pm
First Round
Stevenage
3-3
Portsmouth
 Portsmouth win 3-1 on penalties
List (9'), Carter (10'), Cuthbert (29')
Curtis (21'), Evans (45+2' pen.), Marquis (51')
Evans (44')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Stevenage
3-0
Portsmouth
King (16'), Godden (28'), McAnuff (46')
Wilkinson (34'), Pett (45'), Gorman (85'), Franks (86')

Stevens (27'), Burgess (31'), Baker (54')
Burgess (75')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
Stevenage
Smith (80')
Smith (73'), Evans (91')
Schumacher (71'), Godden (75')
Gorman (39'), Wilkinson (45'), King (94')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
Stevenage
0-2
Portsmouth

Wilkinson (38')
McNulty (22'), Naismith (82')
McNulty (23')
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Stevenage
Chaplin (77')
Williams (94')
Tonge (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!