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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Derby County |
44.05% (![]() | 26.73% (![]() | 29.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.79% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.1% (![]() | 54.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.81% (![]() | 76.19% (![]() |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% (![]() | 24.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.67% (![]() | 59.33% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% (![]() | 33.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.52% (![]() | 70.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 11.68% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 12.67% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.38% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.8% ( ![]() Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.08% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |