Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: De Graafschap 0-3 Ajax
Thursday, March 2 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Thursday, March 2 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 Volendam
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 3-0 NEC
Having posted two 3-0 wins in succession, confidence will be oozing out of NEC ahead of the toughest fixture on their schedule. However, there is more chance of the visitors losing by that scoreline this week as Ajax continue to impress under Heitinga. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 83.12%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 4-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.89%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | NEC |
83.12% ( -1.64) | 10.83% ( 0.88) | 6.05% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.87% ( -1.15) | 25.13% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.92% ( -1.51) | 45.08% ( 1.52) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.63% ( -0.44) | 4.37% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 81.96% ( -1.41) | 18.04% ( 1.42) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.2% ( 1.43) | 45.8% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.43% ( 1.09) | 81.57% ( -1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 83.11%
NEC 6.05%
Draw 10.83%
| Ajax | Draw | NEC |
| 3-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.37)1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.48)5-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.17)6-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.35)4-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.18)5-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.2)7-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.13% Total : 83.11% | 1-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 2% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.95% Total : 10.83% | 1-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.58% Total : 6.05% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Nijmegen
Ajax
89.7%Draw
3.4%NEC
6.9%29
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Apr 8, 2017 6.45pm
Nijmegen
1-5
Ajax
Kadioglu (54')
Nov 20, 2016 1.30pm
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
von Haacke (37'), Golla (39'), Dyrestam (52')
Form Guide
