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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Emmen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Emmen.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
70.03% ( -0.55) | 18.2% ( 0.29) | 11.77% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 48.28% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.56% ( -0.65) | 42.44% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.16% ( -0.65) | 64.84% ( 0.65) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.07% ( -0.32) | 10.93% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.87% ( -0.71) | 35.13% ( 0.71) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.21% ( 0.03) | 45.79% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.44% ( 0.02) | 81.56% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.84% Total : 70.03% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.2% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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