Emmen2 - 0Excelsior
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
for
We said: Emmen 1-0 SBV Excelsior
The teams have been largely underwhelming in front of goal of late, so a low-scoring affair could be on the cards here. That said, we are backing the home side to narrowly come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Emmen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Emmen.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
70.03% ( -0.55) | 18.2% ( 0.29) | 11.77% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.56% ( -0.65) | 42.44% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.16% ( -0.65) | 64.84% ( 0.65) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.07% ( -0.32) | 10.93% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.87% ( -0.71) | 35.13% ( 0.71) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.21% ( 0.03) | 45.79% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.44% ( 0.02) | 81.56% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.84% Total : 70.03% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.2% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.77% |
How you voted: Emmen vs Excelsior
(86'), Hilterman (90+4')
