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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78.06%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 8.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ajax in this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
78.06% | 13.31% ( -0) | 8.63% |
Both teams to score 55.18% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.22% ( 0.01) | 27.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.53% ( 0.01) | 48.46% ( -0.01) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.3% ( -0) | 5.69% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.99% ( 0) | 22.01% ( -0.01) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.51% ( 0.01) | 41.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.01% ( 0.01) | 77.98% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.84% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.82% 6-1 @ 1.6% 5-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 4.96% Total : 78.06% | 1-1 @ 5.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.75% 0-0 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 13.31% | 1-2 @ 2.62% 0-1 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.1% 0-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.92% Total : 8.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |