MX23RW : Monday, November 4 18:37:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 1pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Feyenoord

Ajax
0 - 4
Feyenoord


Taylor (41'), Vos (66'), Brobbey (80')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gimenez (9', 18', 59'), Paixao (37')
Wellenreuther (42'), Gimenez (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-3 Marseille
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Celtic
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Ajax 1-2 Feyenoord

The tides appear to be shifting in the Eredivisie, particularly after the visitors' clear league win last time around and their far stronger start to the new term, and we fancy Feyenoord to come out on top against their rivals in Amsterdam on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.26%) and 2-3 (4.74%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
36.21% (-1.909 -1.91) 21.33% (-0.145 -0.15) 42.46% (2.048 2.05)
Both teams to score 71.82% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.59% (0.48299999999999 0.48)27.4% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52% (0.607 0.61)47.99% (-0.613 -0.61)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.577 -0.58)16.44% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (-1.045 -1.05)46.12% (1.04 1.04)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95% (0.93599999999999 0.94)14.04% (-0.941 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39% (1.815 1.82)41.61% (-1.82 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 36.21%
    Feyenoord 42.46%
    Draw 21.33%
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.17% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.208 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-3 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 8.18% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 7.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.86% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.31% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 21.33%
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 5.26% (0.265 0.27)
2-3 @ 4.74% (0.152 0.15)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.2 0.2)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.211 0.21)
2-4 @ 2.33% (0.149 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.142 0.14)
3-4 @ 1.4% (0.064 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.114 0.11)
2-5 @ 0.91% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 42.46%

How you voted: Ajax vs Feyenoord

Ajax
31.1%
Draw
13.3%
Feyenoord
55.6%
45
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 7pm
Semi-Finals
Feyenoord
1-2
Ajax
Gimenez (45+2')
Tadic (14'), Klaassen (51')
Mar 19, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 26
Ajax
2-3
Feyenoord
Alvarez (17'), Tadic (37')
Gimenez (5'), Szymanski (52'), Geertruida (86')
Jan 22, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 17
Feyenoord
1-1
Ajax
Paixao (34')
Klaassen (71')
Mar 20, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 24
Ajax
3-2
Feyenoord
Haller (24'), Tadic (78'), Antony (86')
Antony (88'), Klaassen (90+5')
Antony (90+3')
Sinisterra (8'), Til (28')
Dec 19, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
Feyenoord
0-2
Ajax

Linssen (13'), Toornstra (37'), Aursnes (51'), Slot (72'), Nelson (80')
Senesi (44' og.), Tadic (81' pen.)
Gravenberch (15'), Haller (32'), Antony (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!