MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:25:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Ajax

FC Twente
3 - 1
Ajax

Rots (7'), Steijn (11'), Unuvar (79')
Sadilek (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brobbey (35')
Bergwijn (13'), Hato (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 0-2 FC Twente
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Ajax
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 1-1 Ajax

 FC Twente have made a promising start to the season, but the fixture list has been kind to them, coming up against two newly-promoted sides. As such, we do not expect the hosts to make it four wins on the bounce this weekend, but they may be good enough to get a point, given that Ajax have made a slow start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 2-0 (5.05%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAjax
41.4% (-0.834 -0.83) 22.38% (-0.311 -0.31) 36.21% (1.149 1.15)
Both teams to score 67.6% (1.482 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.16% (1.828 1.83)32.84% (-1.825 -1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.46% (2.077 2.08)54.54% (-2.073 -2.07)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.416 0.42)16.65% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.49% (0.737 0.74)46.5% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (1.382 1.38)18.89% (-1.378 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (2.253 2.25)50.36% (-2.249 -2.25)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 41.4%
    Ajax 36.21%
    Draw 22.38%
FC TwenteDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-0 @ 5.64% (-0.477 -0.48)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.135 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 41.4%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.365 -0.36)
2-2 @ 7.02% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-3 @ 2.33% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.38%
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.206 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.9% (0.236 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.159 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.163 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.076 0.08)
3-4 @ 0.97% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Ajax

FC Twente
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Ajax
25.0%
56
Head to Head
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FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')
Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax
Kudus (70')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Ajax
0-0
FC Twente
> Preview
Feb 13, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 20
Ajax
5-0
FC Twente
Klaassen (31'), Haller (53', 85', 88'), Propper (77' og.)
Tadic (41')

Rots (54')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 2
FC Twente
1-1
Ajax
Propper (86')
Menig (10')
Haller (51')
Klaassen (17'), Haller (55')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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