MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 01:38:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Ajax

FC Twente
3 - 1
Ajax

Rots (7'), Steijn (11'), Unuvar (79')
Sadilek (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brobbey (35')
Bergwijn (13'), Hato (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 0-2 FC Twente
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Ajax
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 1-1 Ajax

 FC Twente have made a promising start to the season, but the fixture list has been kind to them, coming up against two newly-promoted sides. As such, we do not expect the hosts to make it four wins on the bounce this weekend, but they may be good enough to get a point, given that Ajax have made a slow start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 2-0 (5.05%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAjax
41.4% (-0.834 -0.83) 22.38% (-0.311 -0.31) 36.21% (1.149 1.15)
Both teams to score 67.6% (1.482 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.16% (1.828 1.83)32.84% (-1.825 -1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.46% (2.077 2.08)54.54% (-2.073 -2.07)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.416 0.42)16.65% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.49% (0.737 0.74)46.5% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (1.382 1.38)18.89% (-1.378 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (2.253 2.25)50.36% (-2.249 -2.25)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 41.4%
    Ajax 36.21%
    Draw 22.38%
FC TwenteDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-0 @ 5.64% (-0.477 -0.48)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.19% (0.135 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 41.4%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.365 -0.36)
2-2 @ 7.02% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-3 @ 2.33% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.38%
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.206 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.9% (0.236 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.159 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.163 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.076 0.08)
3-4 @ 0.97% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Ajax

FC Twente
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Ajax
25.0%
56
Head to Head
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3-1
Ajax
Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')
Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax
Kudus (70')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Ajax
0-0
FC Twente
> Preview
Feb 13, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 20
Ajax
5-0
FC Twente
Klaassen (31'), Haller (53', 85', 88'), Propper (77' og.)
Tadic (41')

Rots (54')
> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 2
FC Twente
1-1
Ajax
Propper (86')
Menig (10')
Haller (51')
Klaassen (17'), Haller (55')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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