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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
21.98% ( 1.11) | 21.33% ( 0.27) | 56.69% ( -1.38) |
Both teams to score 60.45% ( 0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% ( 0.22) | 37.61% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.16% ( 0.24) | 59.84% ( -0.23) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( 1.13) | 30.38% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( 1.33) | 66.57% ( -1.32) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.83% ( -0.33) | 13.17% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.13% ( -0.68) | 39.87% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.89% Total : 21.98% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.33% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 2% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.77% Total : 56.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |