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Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Ajax

Almere City
2 - 2
Ajax

Ritmeester van de Kamp (67'), Robinet (90+3' pen.)
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akpom (68'), Tahirovic (82')
Brobbey (15'), Rensch (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Almere City
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Almere City 1-3 Ajax

Although Ajax are now on the up, they cannot underestimate opponents who are brimming in confidence. As a result, we feel that Ajax will produce one of their most efficient performances of the season to win a game that could move them into the top half of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.68%) and 1-3 (6.51%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawAjax
25.45% (-0.375 -0.38) 21.05% (0.132 0.13) 53.5% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 65.97% (-0.91600000000001 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.7% (-1.021 -1.02)32.29% (1.019 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.09% (-1.197 -1.2)53.91% (1.195 1.19)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.809 -0.81)24.73% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-1.141 -1.14)59.28% (1.139 1.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)12.35% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82% (-0.574 -0.57)38.18% (0.572 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 25.45%
    Ajax 53.5%
    Draw 21.05%
Almere CityDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.27% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 2.98% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.45%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.189 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 6.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.28 0.28)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.109 0.11)
2-3 @ 4.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 3.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.44% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.38% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
2-5 @ 0.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 53.5%

How you voted: Almere City vs Ajax

Almere City
16.0%
Draw
8.0%
Ajax
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Almere City
1-1
Ajax
Jacobs (47')
Brobbey (35')
Fitz-Jim (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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