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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Ajax

Almere City
2 - 2
Ajax

Ritmeester van de Kamp (67'), Robinet (90+3' pen.)
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akpom (68'), Tahirovic (82')
Brobbey (15'), Rensch (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Almere City
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Almere City 1-3 Ajax

Although Ajax are now on the up, they cannot underestimate opponents who are brimming in confidence. As a result, we feel that Ajax will produce one of their most efficient performances of the season to win a game that could move them into the top half of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.68%) and 1-3 (6.51%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawAjax
25.45% (-0.375 -0.38) 21.05% (0.132 0.13) 53.5% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 65.97% (-0.91600000000001 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.7% (-1.021 -1.02)32.29% (1.019 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.09% (-1.197 -1.2)53.91% (1.195 1.19)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.809 -0.81)24.73% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-1.141 -1.14)59.28% (1.139 1.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)12.35% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82% (-0.574 -0.57)38.18% (0.572 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 25.45%
    Ajax 53.5%
    Draw 21.05%
Almere CityDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.27% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 2.98% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.45%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.189 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 6.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.28 0.28)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.109 0.11)
2-3 @ 4.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 3.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.44% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.38% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
2-5 @ 0.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 53.5%

How you voted: Almere City vs Ajax

Almere City
16.0%
Draw
8.0%
Ajax
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Almere City
1-1
Ajax
Jacobs (47')
Brobbey (35')
Fitz-Jim (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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