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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
29.19% ( 0.16) | 24.95% ( 0.03) | 45.85% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 55.36% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.34% ( -0.04) | 47.65% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% ( -0.03) | 69.85% ( 0.03) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.92% ( 0.1) | 30.08% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.78% ( 0.12) | 66.21% ( -0.12) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( -0.1) | 20.83% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.5% ( -0.16) | 53.5% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
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