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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Ajax

Sparta
2 - 2
Ajax

Verschueren (28', 47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Akpom (65'), Bergwijn (88')
Taylor (89')
Kaplan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Ajax
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-3 Ajax

Having watched the manner of Ajax's performance against Villa, Sparta will fancy their chances of inflicting more misery on the fallen giants. However, Van't Schip may now realise that their recent switch in formation is not sustainable, and we are expecting Ajax to get back on track with a thrilling win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 38.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.07%) and 1-3 (4.76%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
38.94% (0.81 0.81) 22.08% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 38.98% (-0.763 -0.76)
Both teams to score 69.07% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.96% (0.265 0.27)31.04% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.56% (0.312 0.31)52.44% (-0.311 -0.31)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (0.456 0.46)16.9% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.06% (0.805 0.81)46.94% (-0.804 -0.8)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (-0.2 -0.2)16.88% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.09% (-0.361 -0.36)46.91% (0.362 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 38.94%
    Ajax 38.98%
    Draw 22.08%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.51% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.23% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.053 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.12% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 9.02% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 7.14% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.85% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.51% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.76% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 4.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 38.98%

How you voted: Sparta vs Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam
30.8%
Draw
15.4%
Ajax
53.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Brobbey (8'), Bergwijn (42' pen.)
Neghli (55')
de Guzman (68')
Feb 19, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
4-0
Sparta
Tadic (6', 64' pen.), Taylor (27'), Kudus (84')
Aug 21, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

de Guzman (14')
Bergwijn (37')
Alvarez (32')
Apr 9, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 26
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Klaassen (49'), Tadic (62' pen.)
De Kamps (33')
de Kamps (50'), Auassar (61'), Engels (64')
Nov 28, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 13
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Engels (90+5'), Smeets (90+5')
Tadic (36')
Neres (90+4'), Maduro (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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