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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Almere City |
51.65% ( 0.05) | 23.4% ( 0) | 24.95% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.93% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.06% ( -0.06) | 43.94% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.68% ( -0.06) | 66.32% ( 0.06) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.95% ( -0) | 17.05% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.79% ( -0) | 47.21% ( 0.01) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.64% ( -0.07) | 31.36% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.27% ( -0.08) | 67.73% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 22 |
4 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
5 | Feyenoord | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 17 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 14 |
10 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
11 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 11 |
14 | NECNijmegen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
15 | Groningen | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |