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Fortuna Sittard
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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Willem II

Almere City
0 - 1
Willem II


Zagaritis (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Abdirahman Ahmed (78')
Tirpan (52'), Lachkar (56'), Boris (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 29 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 0-2 PSV
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 0-2 Willem II

Willem II's recent defeats can be attributed to a tough run of fixtures in a positive start to the campaign, while their hosts are devoid of any confidence or momentum having failed to get going thus far. With Almere City struggling at both ends of the pitch, we expect another defeat for Hedwiges Maduro's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawWillem II
19% (1.387 1.39) 21.42% (0.312 0.31) 59.58% (-1.702 -1.7)
Both teams to score 55.18% (1.604 1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.71% (0.836 0.84)42.29% (-0.84 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.3% (0.832 0.83)64.69% (-0.836 -0.84)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.03% (2.038 2.04)35.96% (-2.042 -2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.25% (2.025 2.03)72.74% (-2.029 -2.03)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (-0.25 -0.25)13.83% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.82% (-0.491 -0.49)41.18% (0.487 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 19%
    Willem II 59.58%
    Draw 21.42%
Almere CityDrawWillem II
2-1 @ 5.14% (0.322 0.32)
1-0 @ 5.09% (0.092 0.09)
2-0 @ 2.6% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.199 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.183 0.18)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 19%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.275 0.28)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.462 -0.46)
0-2 @ 9.73% (-0.546 -0.55)
1-3 @ 6.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 6.42% (-0.427 -0.43)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.153 0.15)
1-4 @ 3.25% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.18% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.66% (0.062 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.26% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 59.58%

How you voted: Almere City vs Willem II

Almere City
29.0%
Draw
19.4%
Willem II
51.6%
62
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 11.15am
Oct 21, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 12
Willem II
1-1
Almere City
Bokila (66')
Hilterman (22' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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