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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.13%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 3.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 0-4 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
3.53% ( -1.49) | 8.33% ( -1.73) | 88.13% ( 3.21) |
Both teams to score 42.69% ( -4.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.66% ( 0.93) | 25.34% ( -0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.63% ( 1.19) | 45.36% ( -1.2) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.3% ( -5.5) | 55.7% ( 5.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.7% ( -3.5) | 88.29% ( 3.49) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.35% ( 0.64) | 3.64% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.29% ( 2.08) | 15.7% ( -2.09) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
1-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.46) Other @ 1.2% Total : 3.53% | 1-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.74) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.63) Other @ 0.47% Total : 8.33% | 0-3 @ 12.28% ( 1.08) 0-2 @ 11.12% ( 0.45) 0-4 @ 10.17% ( 1.35) 1-3 @ 7.19% ( -0.53) 0-5 @ 6.74% ( 1.19) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.84) 1-4 @ 5.96% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 3.95% ( 0.12) 0-6 @ 3.72% ( 0.81) 1-6 @ 2.18% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.56) 0-7 @ 1.76% ( 0.45) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.35) 2-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.17) 1-7 @ 1.03% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.77% Total : 88.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |