Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht3 - 2Willem II
Behounek (11' og.), Ohio (37' pen.), Thor Sigurgeirsson (53' og.)
Elkarouani (45+2'), Aaronson (90+5')
Elkarouani (45+2'), Aaronson (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Utrecht 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, September 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, September 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 Willem II
Willem II have shown they are no pushovers, but this weekend's trip to Utrecht represents a tough assignment nonetheless. We can see the hosts just about doing enough to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Willem II |
58.23% ( -0.16) | 21.76% ( 0.16) | 20% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.81% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
