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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
16.65% ( 0.04) | 18.76% ( -0.17) | 64.58% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 60.03% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.24% ( 0.94) | 33.76% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.4% ( 1.06) | 55.59% ( -1.06) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.61% ( 0.63) | 33.38% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.99% ( 0.69) | 70.01% ( -0.7) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.11% ( 0.29) | 9.88% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.23% ( 0.68) | 32.76% ( -0.68) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 4.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 16.65% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.76% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 4.33% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 2% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.45% Total : 64.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |