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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
55.44% ( 0.57) | 21.94% ( 0.16) | 22.62% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 59.14% ( -1.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.28% ( -1.58) | 39.72% ( 1.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.92% ( -1.67) | 62.08% ( 1.67) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.74% ( -0.36) | 14.26% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.96% ( -0.7) | 42.04% ( 0.7) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.98% ( -1.49) | 31.02% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.67% ( -1.78) | 67.33% ( 1.79) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 55.44% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 39 |
2 | Ajax | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 32 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Feyenoord | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
5 | FC Twente | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 23 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |