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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Feyenoord |
38.3% ( -0.63) | 23.84% ( 0.09) | 37.86% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 62.1% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.94% ( -0.42) | 40.06% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.58% ( -0.43) | 62.42% ( 0.44) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% ( -0.48) | 21.09% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% ( -0.76) | 53.91% ( 0.76) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% ( 0.08) | 21.31% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.75% ( 0.13) | 54.25% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |