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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
26.29% ( 3.33) | 22.6% ( 0.16) | 51.11% ( -3.49) |
Both teams to score 61.1% ( 3.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.95% ( 2.58) | 39.05% ( -2.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.62% ( 2.65) | 61.37% ( -2.65) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% ( 4.05) | 27.73% ( -4.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.7% ( 4.91) | 63.3% ( -4.91) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.54% ( -0.27) | 15.46% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.68% ( -0.5) | 44.32% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.53) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.48) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.29% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.54) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 8% ( -1.09) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( -1.1) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.74) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.37) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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