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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
PEC Zwolle

AZ
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Pavlidis (77' pen.), Mijnans (90+4')
Clasie (47'), Belic (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (57'), Velanas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 PEC Zwolle

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture, and we expect Saturday's encounter to follow suit. That said, AZ are huge favourites to come out on top, and we fully back the home side to live up to expectations and run out comfortable winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
70.17% (0.184 0.18) 16.46% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 13.36% (-0.135 -0.14)
Both teams to score 60.31% (-0.23 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.4% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)29.59% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.3% (-0.125 -0.13)50.7% (0.127 0.13)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.43% (0.013999999999996 0.01)7.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.9% (0.031000000000006 0.03)27.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)34.75% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.272 -0.27)71.48% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 70.17%
    PEC Zwolle 13.36%
    Draw 16.46%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.87% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.51% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 70.17%
1-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.46%
1-2 @ 3.79% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 13.36%

How you voted: AZ vs PEC Zwolle

AZ Alkmaar
90.0%
Draw
5.0%
PEC Zwolle
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
PEC Zwolle
0-3
AZ

Namli (23'), van den Berg (26'), Druijf (40')
Lahdo (13'), Van Brederode (52'), Pavlidis (90')
Moller Wolfe (63'), van Brederode (75'), Kasius (82')
Apr 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 26
PEC Zwolle
2-1
AZ
Kastaneer (51'), Redan (86')
Pavlidis (81')
Wijndal (89')
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
AZ
3-2
PEC Zwolle
De Wit (14'), Pavlidis (38', 52')
Midtsjo (39'), Sugawara (65')
De Wit (5', 13')
De Wit (55'), Langeler (55'), Huiberts (59'), van Polen (83')
Jan 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
PEC Zwolle
1-1
AZ
Clement (9')
Kersten (80')
Midtsjo (67')
Sep 19, 2020 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
AZ
1-1
PEC Zwolle
Boadu (68')
Stengs (17')
Leemans (38')
van Duinen (9'), Huiberts (40'), van Polen (71'), Lam (74'), Nakayama (90+5')
Lam (83')
rhs 2.0
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FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV14130150113939
2Ajax13102129121732
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1310122417731
4Feyenoord1485132141829
5FC Twente1484229141528
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1472526151123
7NAC BredaNAC Breda146171523-819
8Go Ahead Eagles145362023-318
9Fortuna SittardSittard145361519-418
10NECNijmegen145182114716
11Willem II144461516-116
12PEC Zwolle144371524-915
13Groningen144371424-1015
14Heerenveen144371427-1315
15Heracles143471426-1213
16Sparta RotterdamSparta142571321-811
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1413101334-216
18Almere CityAlmere City141310631-256


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