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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
PEC Zwolle

AZ
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Pavlidis (77' pen.), Mijnans (90+4')
Clasie (47'), Belic (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (57'), Velanas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 PEC Zwolle

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture, and we expect Saturday's encounter to follow suit. That said, AZ are huge favourites to come out on top, and we fully back the home side to live up to expectations and run out comfortable winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
70.17% (0.184 0.18) 16.46% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 13.36% (-0.135 -0.14)
Both teams to score 60.31% (-0.23 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.4% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)29.59% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.3% (-0.125 -0.13)50.7% (0.127 0.13)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.43% (0.013999999999996 0.01)7.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.9% (0.031000000000006 0.03)27.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)34.75% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.272 -0.27)71.48% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 70.17%
    PEC Zwolle 13.36%
    Draw 16.46%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.87% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.51% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 70.17%
1-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.46%
1-2 @ 3.79% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 13.36%

How you voted: AZ vs PEC Zwolle

AZ Alkmaar
90.0%
Draw
5.0%
PEC Zwolle
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
PEC Zwolle
0-3
AZ

Namli (23'), van den Berg (26'), Druijf (40')
Lahdo (13'), Van Brederode (52'), Pavlidis (90')
Moller Wolfe (63'), van Brederode (75'), Kasius (82')
Apr 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 26
PEC Zwolle
2-1
AZ
Kastaneer (51'), Redan (86')
Pavlidis (81')
Wijndal (89')
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
AZ
3-2
PEC Zwolle
De Wit (14'), Pavlidis (38', 52')
Midtsjo (39'), Sugawara (65')
De Wit (5', 13')
De Wit (55'), Langeler (55'), Huiberts (59'), van Polen (83')
Jan 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
PEC Zwolle
1-1
AZ
Clement (9')
Kersten (80')
Midtsjo (67')
Sep 19, 2020 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
AZ
1-1
PEC Zwolle
Boadu (68')
Stengs (17')
Leemans (38')
van Duinen (9'), Huiberts (40'), van Polen (71'), Lam (74'), Nakayama (90+5')
Lam (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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