Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 1-4 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Almere City
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 NEC
Alkmaar will be downbeat following Thursday's disappointing result, but with the hosts in fine domestic form, we think that they will cruise to a comfortable victory to prolong Nijmegen's winless away run. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for NEC had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
65.26% ( 0.27) | 19.97% ( -0.09) | 14.75% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
