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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 75.76%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | FC Volendam |
75.76% ( 0.04) | 14.58% ( -0.01) | 9.66% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.13% ( -0.03) | 30.87% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.77% ( -0.04) | 52.23% ( 0.04) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.23% ( 0) | 6.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75% ( 0) | 25% ( -0) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.28% ( -0.08) | 41.72% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.81% ( -0.07) | 78.19% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.95% Total : 75.75% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.58% | 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 9.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 39 |
2 | Ajax | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 32 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Feyenoord | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
5 | FC Twente | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 23 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
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