MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:55:56| >> :60:8:8:
FC Twente logo
KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Feb 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Ajax

FC Twente
0 - 1
Ajax


Zerrouki (29'), van Wolfswinkel (42'), Ugalde (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kudus (70')
Taylor (28'), Berghuis (83'), Alvarez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between FC Twente and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions
Last Game: Groningen 1-1 FC Twente
Sunday, February 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: Cambuur 0-5 Ajax
Sunday, February 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 0-2 Ajax

 Twente will be a threat to Ajax in this affair and have the ability to knock their visitors out of the KNVB Cup on Thursday. However, we believe that Ajax's attacking style and rejuvenated potency in front of goal will be too much in the end for Twente to be able to cope with, and that they will eventually break down the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.89%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAjax
22.25% (0.644 0.64) 21.04% (0.293 0.29) 56.72% (-0.932 -0.93)
Both teams to score 61.9% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.13% (-0.566 -0.57)35.87% (0.572 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.04% (-0.627 -0.63)57.96% (0.634 0.63)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.233 0.23)29.17% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.281 0.28)65.12% (-0.276 -0.28)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)12.6% (0.451 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.3% (-0.937 -0.94)38.7% (0.944 0.94)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 22.25%
    Ajax 56.72%
    Draw 21.04%
FC TwenteDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.78% (0.136 0.14)
1-0 @ 4.53% (0.156 0.16)
2-0 @ 2.79% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.37% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 22.25%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.04%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.89% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.71% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 5.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.48% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.82% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 2.14% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.44% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.17% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 56.72%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Ajax

FC Twente
25.3%
Draw
12.7%
Ajax
62.0%
166
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Ajax
0-0
FC Twente

Tadic (55')
Rensch (35')

Sampsted (13'), van Wolfswinkel (45+6'), Zerrouki (61'), Tzolis (73')
Feb 13, 2022 3.45pm
Ajax
5-0
FC Twente
Klaassen (31'), Haller (53', 85', 88'), Propper (77' og.)
Tadic (41')

Rots (54')
Aug 22, 2021 11.15am
FC Twente
1-1
Ajax
Propper (86')
Menig (10')
Haller (51')
Klaassen (17'), Haller (55')
Jan 14, 2021 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
Ajax
Pleguezuelo (84')
Rots (81')
Haller (7'), Huntelaar (90', 90+1')
Dec 5, 2020 7pm
Ajax
1-2
FC Twente
Tadic (58' pen.)
Gravenberch (83')
Menig (22', 84')
rhs 2.0
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