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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.85%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
22.39% ( 0.73) | 21.27% ( 0.28) | 56.34% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 61.25% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.18% ( -0.39) | 36.81% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.01% ( -0.43) | 58.99% ( 0.43) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% ( 0.42) | 29.58% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% ( 0.5) | 65.61% ( -0.5) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.98% ( -0.42) | 13.02% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.44% ( -0.87) | 39.56% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 22.39% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.63% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.92% Total : 56.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 20 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
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