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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
33.2% ( 0.38) | 24.62% ( 0.07) | 42.18% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 58.4% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.47% ( -0.22) | 44.53% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.1% ( -0.21) | 66.9% ( 0.22) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% ( 0.13) | 25.91% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% ( 0.17) | 60.89% ( -0.17) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.82% ( -0.3) | 21.18% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.95% ( -0.47) | 54.05% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |