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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.03%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
23.23% ( 2.1) | 22.73% ( 1.44) | 54.03% ( -3.54) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( -2.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.35% ( -4.06) | 42.65% ( 4.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.95% ( -4.17) | 65.05% ( 4.17) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.9% ( -0.39) | 32.1% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.42% ( -0.45) | 68.58% ( 0.45) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.26% ( -2.51) | 15.74% ( 2.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.16% ( -4.85) | 44.84% ( 4.86) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.43) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.92) 2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.57% Total : 23.23% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.86) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.86) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.6) 0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.38) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.57) 0-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.47) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.34) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.33) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.64% Total : 54.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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