Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 88.95%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 2.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.43%) and 4-0 (11.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.87%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (1.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
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