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Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Polman Stadion
Feyenoord

Heracles
0 - 4
Feyenoord


Engels (41'), Scheperman (74'), Vejinovic (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Stengs (4', 18'), Geertruida (48'), Maduro (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 Heracles
Sunday, December 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Feyenoord
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Heracles 0-3 Feyenoord

Heracles have the home advantage, and that should lead to them providing some problems for their opponents. However, Feyenoord should have more than enough quality to get through this particular match to take three points to aid their title challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.49%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 19.27% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 1-3 (7.33%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (5.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawFeyenoord
19.27% (-1.866 -1.87) 19.24% (-0.76 -0.76) 61.49% (2.627 2.63)
Both teams to score 63.73% (-0.364 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.59% (0.902 0.9)31.41% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.13% (1.058 1.06)52.87% (-1.056 -1.06)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-1.144 -1.14)29.23% (1.146 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-1.43 -1.43)65.18% (1.431 1.43)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.04% (0.929 0.93)9.96% (-0.928 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.07% (2.096 2.1)32.93% (-2.097 -2.1)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 19.27%
    Feyenoord 61.49%
    Draw 19.24%
HeraclesDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 5.08% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-0 @ 3.58% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-0 @ 2.2% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-0 @ 0.9% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 19.27%
1-1 @ 8.26% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-0 @ 2.91% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19.24%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.74% (0.226 0.23)
1-3 @ 7.33% (0.267 0.27)
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.95% (0.397 0.4)
2-3 @ 4.51% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.22% (0.31 0.31)
0-4 @ 3.43% (0.352 0.35)
2-4 @ 2.6% (0.113 0.11)
1-5 @ 1.95% (0.213 0.21)
0-5 @ 1.58% (0.217 0.22)
2-5 @ 1.2% (0.097 0.1)
3-4 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 61.49%

How you voted: Heracles vs Feyenoord

Heracles
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Feyenoord
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 26
Heracles
1-4
Feyenoord
Bakis (1')
Ouahim (25')
Kokcu (21'), Nelson (39'), Til (45'), Walemark (70')
Dec 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 4
Feyenoord
2-1
Heracles
Sinisterra (45+7', 69')
Senesi (58')
Bakis (15')
Basacikoglu (45+4'), Quagliata (45+9'), Rente (47')
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Heracles
1-1
Feyenoord
Bakis (68' pen.)
Quagliata (27'), Propper (83')
Kokcu (64')
Diemers (85')
Dec 6, 2020 11.15am
Gameweek 11
Feyenoord
0-0
Heracles
Knoester (29'), Schoofs (35'), Bakis (56'), Breukers (90+2')
Bakis (66')
Jan 25, 2020 6.45pm
Gameweek 20
Heracles
2-3
Feyenoord
Rossmann (19', 78')
Dessers (50')
Toornstra (47'), Sinisterra (53'), Botteghin (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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