MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:49:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Erve Asito
NAC Breda

Heracles
2 - 0
NAC Breda

De Keersmaecker (39' pen., 63')
Roosken (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Greiml (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 5-0 Heracles
Sunday, October 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-1 NAC Breda

Breda's largely underwhelming form on the road so far means a victory this weekend could just be a tad out of reach.   Nonetheless, we are tipping them to come away with a share of the spoils from what should be a keenly contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawNAC Breda
39.7% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 24.21% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 36.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.56% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58% (0.012999999999998 0.01)41.99% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.6% (0.012999999999998 0.01)64.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (0.012 0.01)21.26% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (0.022000000000006 0.02)54.17% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 39.7%
    NAC Breda 36.08%
    Draw 24.2%
HeraclesDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 39.7%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 36.08%

How you voted: Heracles vs NAC Breda

Heracles
38.5%
Draw
30.8%
NAC Breda
30.8%
13
Head to Head
May 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 37
NAC Breda
0-3
Heracles
Hansson (56'), Vejinovic (88'), Wehmeyer (90')
Nov 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
Heracles
5-1
NAC Breda
Bruns (16'), Roosken (30'), Laursen (42', 71'), Hansson (74')
Velanas (9')
Apr 6, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Heracles
1-0
NAC Breda
Peterson (81')
van Hintum (66'), Duarte (79')

Kastaneer (59'), Kali (64')
Nov 3, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
NAC Breda
2-1
Heracles
Ilic (21'), Te Vrede (88')
Kali (29')
Kuwas (60')
van den Buijs (7'), Osman (28')
Feb 7, 2018 7.45pm
NAC Breda
6-1
Heracles
Vloet (4'), Ambrose (18'), Garcia (50'), Te Vrede (78'), El Allouchi (81'), Umar (83')
Verschueren (40'), El Allouchi (78')
Vermeij (13')
Breukers (38'), Monteiro (45')
Breukers (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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