

FC Twente5 - 0Heracles
We said: FC Twente 2-0 Heracles
Twente have been far from their best in recent matches but remain heavily fancied to see off the threat of Heracles in front of their fans. While we expect the away side to give a good account of themselves, we fully fancy the home side to emerge victorious when all is said and done. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 82.23%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 6.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.15%) and 4-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.49%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
82.23% (![]() | 11.69% (![]() | 6.08% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.9% (![]() | 30.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.69% (![]() | 51.3% (![]() |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.57% (![]() | 5.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.76% (![]() | 21.23% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.14% (![]() | 49.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.44% (![]() | 84.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
2-0 @ 11.48% 3-0 @ 11.15% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.13% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.46% Total : 82.23% | 1-1 @ 5.49% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.7% ( ![]() Other @ 0.71% Total : 11.69% | 1-2 @ 1.91% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 6.08% |