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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
Fortuna Sittard

PSV
2 - 1
Sittard

de Jong (25'), Simons (82')
Bakayoko (10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gladon (4')
Duarte (30'), Pandur (45+2'), Cox (66'), Siovas (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 0-1 PSV
Saturday, May 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-0 Vitesse
Sunday, May 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Fortuna Sittard

PSV Eindhoven have a fantastic record against Fortuna Sittard, having won 13 and drawn two of the last 15 meetings between the two sides, and they should have no trouble cruising to an easy victory on Sunday. Van Nistelrooy's side have the best home record in the division, collecting 40 points in 15 games, and they are very likely to take all three points in their penultimate match at the Philips Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.28%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 4-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard
87.28% (0.127 0.13) 8.48% (-0.056899999999999 -0.06) 4.24% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.82% (-0.361 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.78% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)21.22% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.19% (-0.133 -0.13)39.81% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.02% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)13.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.43% (-0.374 -0.37)48.57% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.35% (-0.273 -0.27)83.65% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 87.28%
    Fortuna Sittard 4.24%
    Draw 8.48%
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard
3-0 @ 10.53% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.12% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
4-0 @ 9.12% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 6.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6.32% (0.05 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.27% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 4.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 3.65% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.038 -0.04)
6-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
7-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-2 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 87.28%
1-1 @ 3.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.38% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 8.48%
1-2 @ 1.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 4.24%

How you voted: PSV vs Sittard

PSV Eindhoven
94.4%
Draw
0.0%
Fortuna Sittard
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 1.30pm
gameweek 16
Sittard
2-2
PSV
Cordoba (45+1'), Yilmaz (90+9' pen.)
Velazquez (22')
Erdogan (56')
Simons (65'), Sangare (76')
Gutierrez (38'), Madueke (90+1')
Mar 20, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 24
PSV
5-0
Sittard
Max (10'), Doan (39'), Zahavi (41'), Bruma (77'), Vinicius (82')
Nov 7, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 11
Sittard
1-4
PSV
Ramalho (76' og.)
Doan (37'), Bruma (54', 85'), Sangare (72')
van Ginkel (82')
Mar 7, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 25
Sittard
1-3
PSV
Cox (69')
Zahavi (10', 27'), Madueke (87')
Viergever (35'), Sangare (43')
Oct 4, 2020 3.45pm
gameweek 4
PSV
2-0
Sittard
Malen (5'), Madueke (85')

Seuntjens (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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