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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 56.43%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 0-1 (8.33%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
22.05% ( -0.22) | 21.52% ( 0.06) | 56.43% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 59.86% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.57% ( -0.56) | 38.43% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.28% ( -0.59) | 60.72% ( 0.6) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.21% ( -0.5) | 30.79% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% ( -0.6) | 67.05% ( 0.6) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% ( -0.14) | 13.52% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.43% ( -0.27) | 40.57% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 22.05% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 56.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 39 |
2 | Ajax | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 32 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Feyenoord | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
5 | FC Twente | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 23 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
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