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Willem II
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Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Fortuna Sittard

FC Twente
2 - 0
Sittard

Fofana (52' og.), van Wolfswinkel (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guth (14'), Guth (57'), Sierhuis (67')
Guth (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-1 Nijmegen
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 3-1 Fortuna Sittard

The home side have won all of the last three encounters between these two sides by 3-0 scorelines, and with them scoring an impressive 53 times in 28 games this season, we expect them to win this one with plenty of goals. Sittard's top scorer Sierhuis is in fantastic form ahead of this one, and we expect him to continue that with yet another goal here, albeit in a losing effort. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 75.09%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.

Result
FC TwenteDrawFortuna Sittard
75.09% (-0.218 -0.22) 15.99% (0.114 0.11) 8.92% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.19% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.26% (-0.19 -0.19)40.74% (0.188 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.88% (-0.194 -0.19)63.12% (0.193 0.19)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.77% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)9.23% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.78% (-0.236 -0.24)31.22% (0.233 0.23)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.78% (0.101 0.1)50.22% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.19% (0.068 0.07)84.81% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 75.08%
    Fortuna Sittard 8.92%
    Draw 15.99%
FC TwenteDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 13.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 10.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.23% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.97% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.18% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 75.08%
1-1 @ 7.61% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 15.99%
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 2.62% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 8.92%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Sittard

FC Twente
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Fortuna Sittard
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Sittard
0-3
FC Twente

Guth (37'), Siovas (66')
Belkheir (81')
Ugalde (15'), Regeer (47'), Van Wolfswinkel (88')
Hilgers (29'), Propper (55')
Mar 11, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 25
Sittard
0-3
FC Twente
Cerny (67'), Ugalde (71', 77')
Aug 14, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 2
FC Twente
3-0
Sittard

Duarte (73'), Seuntjens (80'), Yilmaz (90+1')
May 7, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 29
FC Twente
1-2
Sittard
Van Wolfswinkel (37')
Brenet (40'), Cerny (78'), Propper (86')
Flemming (25', 42')
Flemming (5'), Cox (22'), Gladon (44'), Duarte (73'), Samaris (78'), Seuntjens (90')
Aug 14, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 1
Sittard
2-1
FC Twente
Seuntjens (60'), Lake (80')
Seuntjens (33'), Duarte (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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