Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax2 - 2Sittard
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 0-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sittard 5-2 Excelsior
Sunday, March 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 2-2 Fortuna Sittard
Ajax are unbeaten in 10 matches against Fortuna, and even if that is expected to become 11 this weekend, the home side's European exertions and an eye on next week's match at Villa Park could mean the Sittard outfit claim a point in Amsterdam. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
58.46% ( 1.03) | 20.89% ( 0.01) | 20.65% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( -1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.68% ( -1.51) | 37.32% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.47% ( -1.64) | 59.54% ( 1.65) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.44% ( -0.18) | 12.56% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.38% ( -0.38) | 38.62% ( 0.39) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -1.8) | 31.42% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.21% ( -2.14) | 67.8% ( 2.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 58.46%
Fortuna Sittard 20.66%
Draw 20.89%
| Ajax | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.49)1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 4% Total : 58.46% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.62% Total : 20.66% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Sittard
Ajax
87.5%Draw
12.5%Fortuna Sittard
0.0%32
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sittard
0-0
Ajax
Apr 9, 2023 3.45pm
Sep 21, 2021 5.45pm
