Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Almere City 0-1 AZ
Saturday, August 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, August 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 NEC
AZ Alkmaar were far from their best in their opening fixture, but a return to home turf should see them up the ante. We are tipping the hosts to emerge victorious in a relatively comfortable manner come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
60.58% ( -1.99) | 19.73% ( 0.46) | 19.68% ( 1.53) |
| Both teams to score 62.6% ( 1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.82% ( 0.32) | 33.17% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.07% ( 0.36) | 54.92% ( -0.37) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.29% ( -0.41) | 10.71% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.37% ( -0.91) | 34.63% ( 0.91) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( 1.7) | 29.89% ( -1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34% ( 2.01) | 65.99% ( -2.01) |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 60.58%
NEC 19.68%
Draw 19.73%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.3)4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.16)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.22% Total : 60.58% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.73% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.89% Total : 19.68% |
How you voted: AZ vs Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
89.3%Draw
3.6%NEC
7.1%28
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2023 6pm
Sep 1, 2022 7pm
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
