Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.