Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.36%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match.