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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
52.18% (![]() | 20.49% (![]() | 27.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 70.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.24% (![]() | 27.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.56% (![]() | 48.44% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.81% | 11.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.3% (![]() | 35.7% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% (![]() | 21.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% (![]() | 53.9% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 8.81% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.18% | 1-1 @ 8.04% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.36% ( ![]() Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 6.26% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
11 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |