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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Heerenveen

Almere City
1 - 1
Heerenveen

Hansen (47')
Resink (77'), Cathline (87')
Koopmeiners (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sahraoui (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 3-1 Almere City
Wednesday, April 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-8 PSV
Thursday, April 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 2-1 Heerenveen

Both teams are fighting to return to winning ways on Friday, but the visitors should be particularly wounded from last week's beating, and we envisage them falling short in a result which would see the two sides move level on points with two games left to play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawHeerenveen
28% (0.427 0.43) 23.66% (0.217 0.22) 48.34% (-0.645 -0.64)
Both teams to score 58.89% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (-0.69 -0.69)42.63% (0.69 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.96% (-0.692 -0.69)65.04% (0.691 0.69)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.64% (-0.050999999999988 -0.05)28.35% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)64.09% (0.062999999999988 0.06)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19% (-0.509 -0.51)17.81% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.47% (-0.887 -0.89)48.53% (0.888 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 28%
    Heerenveen 48.34%
    Draw 23.66%
Almere CityDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.078 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.184 0.18)
2-0 @ 4.01% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 28%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.153 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.122 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.52% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 48.34%

How you voted: Almere City vs Heerenveen

Almere City
52.2%
Draw
17.4%
Heerenveen
30.4%
46
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 14
Heerenveen
3-0
Almere City
Van Amersfoort (15', 70'), Van Beek (40')
Haye (68')

Royo (39'), van Bruggen (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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