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Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 13, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Philips Stadion
Vitesse

PSV
6 - 0
Vitesse

de Jong (28', 67'), Tillman (30'), Ramalho (37'), Bakayoko (53'), Lozano (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)

de Regt (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 5-1 AZ
Saturday, April 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 0-3 Nijmegen
Sunday, April 7 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Vitesse

Vitesse have been poor at both ends of the pitch all-season long, and it is hard to see them coming away with a positive result here. We fancy the hosts to cruise to a comfortable win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 8.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
79.22% (-0.419 -0.42) 12.71% (0.239 0.24) 8.06% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 55.01% (-0.169 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.25% (-0.593 -0.59)26.75% (0.592 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.83% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)47.17% (0.75700000000001 0.76)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.71% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)5.29% (0.1849 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.16% (-0.54899999999999 -0.55)20.84% (0.548 0.55)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.08% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)41.92% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)78.37% (0.056999999999988 0.06)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 79.22%
    Vitesse 8.06%
    Draw 12.71%
PSV EindhovenDrawVitesse
2-0 @ 9.58% (0.124 0.12)
3-0 @ 9.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.9% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.52% (0.162 0.16)
4-1 @ 6% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-0 @ 4.06% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.53% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.61% (-0.038 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.99% (-0.071 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1.73% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 5.37%
Total : 79.22%
1-1 @ 5.67% (0.131 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.71%
1-2 @ 2.46% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 1.93% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 8.06%

How you voted: PSV vs Vitesse

PSV Eindhoven
91.7%
Draw
4.2%
Vitesse
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Vitesse
1-3
PSV
Saibari (48'), Vertessen (64'), De Jong (70' pen.)
Schouten (50')
Mar 19, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 26
Vitesse
1-1
PSV
Sangare (61' og.)
Simons (8')
Jan 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
PSV
1-0
Vitesse
Til (48')
Feb 12, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 20
Vitesse
0-5
PSV

Bazoer (38'), Oroz (67')
Zahavi (4'), Junior (24'), Gakpo (28'), Vinicius (62'), Doan (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
PSV
2-0
Vitesse
Sangare (19'), Bruma (30')

Openda (25'), Wittek (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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