Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Erve Asito
HeraclesA-AGroningen
We said: Heracles 2-1 Groningen
While Groningen are ahead of this opponent by two points in the league standings, they have one of the worst away records in the division this season and failed to score a single goal in their last four matches on the road. Heracles, on the other hand, are unbeaten in three at home and ran Ajax to the wire in a seven-goal thriller before that. We feel the hosts will get the result in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%).
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Groningen |
43.25% ( 0.06) | 24.49% ( 0.01) | 32.26% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
