MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 18:06:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
FC Twente logo

Nijmegen
1 - 0
FC Twente

Verdonk (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Hoorenbeeck (69')
Bruns (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Wednesday, January 17 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PSV 3-1 FC Twente
Wednesday, January 17 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

We said: NEC 1-2 FC Twente

FC Twente's dominance of this fixture makes them huge favourites to come away with maximum points here, and while we expect NEC to put a good fight, we can see the away side just about doing enough to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawFC Twente
30.29% (0.184 0.18) 22.25% (0.213 0.21) 47.47% (-0.395 -0.39)
Both teams to score 65.68% (-0.687 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.61% (-0.94500000000001 -0.95)34.39% (0.948 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.69% (-1.073 -1.07)56.31% (1.075 1.08)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)22.72% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (-0.539 -0.54)56.39% (0.54 0.54)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)15.01% (0.489 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.52% (-0.933 -0.93)43.47% (0.935 0.94)
Score Analysis
    NEC 30.29%
    FC Twente 47.47%
    Draw 22.25%
NECDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.072 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.05% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.74% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.29%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.41% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.1% (-0.075 -0.07)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.203 0.2)
0-2 @ 6.13% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.75% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 4.26% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.88% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.72% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 47.47%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs FC Twente

NEC
23.5%
Draw
5.9%
FC Twente
70.6%
17
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 12
FC Twente
3-3
Nijmegen
Steijn (43', 76'), Ugalde (87')
Ugalde (90+6')
Ross (47'), Van Rooij (56'), Baas (65')
Proper (84'), Ogawa (86'), Ross (90+6')
May 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
FC Twente
4-0
Nijmegen
Cerny (38'), Misidjan (60'), Van Wolfswinkel (77', 84')
Aug 7, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 1
Nijmegen
0-1
FC Twente

Duelund (53')
Steijn (90+1')
Sadilek (50')
Apr 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Nijmegen
0-2
FC Twente

Marquez (57')
Akman (58')
Misidjan (65'), Limnios (75')
Oct 24, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 9
FC Twente
1-2
Nijmegen
Misidjan (58')
Troupee (39'), Propper (49')
Tavsan (50'), Vet (76')
Okita (38'), Elkarouani (51'), Vet (84'), Odenthal (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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