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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Go Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
De Adelaarshorst
AZ Alkmaar

Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 3
AZ

FT(HT: 0-2)
Sadiq (39'), Mijnans (45+3'), van Brederode (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, May 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Go Ahead Eagles have hit a poor patch of form at the wrong time in the season, and turning that around in a game of this magnitude will be tough. AZ Alkmaar are looking to earn a third-place finish and given their recent strong form there is a good chance they will go one step closer this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAZ Alkmaar
32.95% (0.176 0.18) 23.11% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 43.94% (-0.232 -0.23)
Both teams to score 63.84% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.63% (-0.217 -0.22)37.37% (0.217 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.41% (-0.234 -0.23)59.59% (0.234 0.23)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.73% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)56.27% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (-0.179 -0.18)17.47% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.04% (-0.315 -0.32)47.96% (0.314 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 32.95%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.94%
    Draw 23.1%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.88% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.37% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 32.95%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.96% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 43.94%

How you voted: Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ

Go Ahead Eagles
15.8%
Draw
21.1%
AZ Alkmaar
63.2%
19
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 1
AZ
5-1
Go Ahead Eagles
Clasie (4'), Pavlidis (15'), Van Bommel (51'), De Wit (87' pen.), Lahdo (90+3')
de Wit (16'), Hatzidiakos (65')
Rommens (66')
Amofa (2'), Nauber (34'), Deijl (87')
Jan 25, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 18
Go Ahead Eagles
1-4
AZ
Thor Willumsson (90+2' pen.)
Pavlidis (38'), Mihailovic (57'), Sugawara (87'), Buurmeester (90+5')
Aug 7, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 1
AZ
2-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Pavlidis (70'), Van Brederode (86')
de Wit (80')

Adekanye (72')
Feb 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 20
Go Ahead Eagles
1-4
AZ
Brouwers (25')
Beukema (28', 85'), Pavlidis (33', 42')
Midtsjo (15')
Sep 26, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
5-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Karlsson (4', 83' pen.), De Wit (29'), Aboukhlal (86'), Reijnders (90+1')
de Wit (51'), Pavlidis (58')

Hahn (82'), Deijl (90'), Nauber (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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