KNVB Beker | Final
Apr 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord
Feyenoord1 - 0Nijmegen
The Match
Match Report
Ten-man Feyenoord claim a narrow 1-0 win over NEC in Sunday's KNVB Beker final to win the competition for the 14th time in their history.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's KNVB Beker clash between Feyenoord and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sittard 0-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
77
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, April 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
72.98% ( 1.07) | 15.97% ( -0.47) | 11.05% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.37% ( 0.61) | 33.63% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.55% ( 0.69) | 55.44% ( -0.7) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.03% ( 0.37) | 7.97% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.87% ( 0.94) | 28.12% ( -0.95) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.85% ( -0.61) | 41.14% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.31% ( -0.54) | 77.68% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord 72.98%
NEC 11.05%
Draw 15.97%
Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.2% Total : 72.98% | 1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.97% | 1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.05% |
How you voted: Feyenoord vs Nijmegen
Feyenoord
76.7%Draw
13.3%NEC
10.0%30
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2023 8pm
Jan 25, 2023 8pm
Oct 2, 2022 1.30pm
Jan 23, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 18
Nijmegen
1-4
Feyenoord
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-22 04:09:40
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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