KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion
Nijmegen3 - 0ADO Den Haag
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 Heracles
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Oss 1-3 ADO Den Haag
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
We said: NEC 2-1 ADO Den Haag
Given the free-scoring nature of the teams leading up to this one, we are expecting a highly-entertaining clash with chances at both ends. That said, we just about tip NEC to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6%) and 1-0 (5.92%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
48.91% ( 0.62) | 21.61% ( -0.14) | 29.48% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 67.56% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.28% ( 0.42) | 31.72% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.77% ( 0.5) | 53.23% ( -0.49) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.46% ( 0.36) | 13.54% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.38% ( 0.71) | 40.62% ( -0.7) |
ADO Den Haag Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.14% ( -0.06) | 21.86% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.91% ( -0.09) | 55.09% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
NEC 48.91%
ADO Den Haag 29.48%
Draw 21.61%
NEC | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
2-1 @ 9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 9% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 29.48% |
How you voted: Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag
NEC
72.6%Draw
11.3%ADO Den Haag
16.1%62
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2016 5.30pm
Mar 20, 2016 1.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-22 05:19:14
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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